"Everything is deeply intertwingled" – Ted Nelson’s insight that inspired the Web. People can be smarter about dealing with that - in media services, social media, AI, and society and life more broadly. Technology can augment that -- most notably as the Augmented Wisdom of Crowds (see the Selected Items tab below). The former name, “Reisman on User-Centered Media” still applies: open and adaptable to each user's needs and desires – and sharing in the value they create for users.
Monday, March 14, 2011
How do you explain something that's never existed before?
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Hyperlocal News symposium by MIT Enterprise Forum of NYC -- 2/24
From my "user-centered media" perspective, hyperlocal is an interesting development, with farther to go in use-centered control of locality -- as to geography, time, and context. Instead of just a newspaper focused on my community, I want to see more context sensitivity and control. Sometimes I want to know:
- why there are sirens in my neighborhood right now (more and longer than usual, this being Manhattan)?
- what are the fireworks I see on the Hudson now, and how do I get advance notice of them?
- what events match my interest profile (graded by distance vs. level of interest)?
- about my home location, my work location, or a location I am visiting or passing through.
The Daily, iPad, and Apps ...or Web browsing with HTML5 -- Which paradigm?
I played with it briefly and it brings me back to some key questions about the future of media. It will be very interesting to see how it does. There are a range of important issues, and here are some impressions.
The interesting business issue is how app models are seen as a last chance to give publishers another bite at the monetization apple (pun intended) vs. free Web content. This depends to some extent on whether Apple and other app stores let publishers keep enough money and enough control of the customer relationship (which Apple clearly hates to do, but Google is more open to). But with HTML5 Web apps as alternative, that may become a harder sell than Murdoch now hopes.
Underlying this is the big technology question of whether the app fad loses out to HTML5 Web browsing. In many respects, the app/widget model is a giant step backward. Pre Web, there were "apps" for every online service, and they were all unique and non-interoperable with a clutter of invocations and divergent UIs. The Web/browser brought a "World Wide Web" of consistency and interoperability that still enabled flexibility and varying look/feel. A key issue is how to benefit from apps/widgets without going back to another age of islands and silos? I built some of the first pre-Web publisher "apps" for TV Guide (hello again News Corp), Golf Magazine, Sierra, and others in the early '90s, and saw first hand how much the Web simplified things for both publishers and users.
The question is why bother downloading apps, when it seems HTML5 will soon give pretty much the same UI with no download? Most of the current UI benefits of apps will soon go away. The lasting benefit of the app store is central merchandising/sales (and a home page UI), and as Google shows with their Web app store, this can be done as little more than a Web site. A few useful links are an Engadget article, the Chrome Webstore, and its FAQ.
Check out NY Times and SI Snapshot Chrome apps for an app-like experience in a browser, with little or nothing to download. The NYTimes chrome site actually runs in Safari on the iPad and looks/acts much like the iPad app (but seems to give a different content mix). The only essential thing the app store really adds is the home page array of icons (and maybe a different way to get people to pay).
I will bet on the browser. It offers the best overall and most open user-centered experience. And I think there are other ways to solve the monetization problem. (One in particular is my FairPay pricing process, with an example of usage for a newspaper on my FairPay Zone blog.)
Friday, December 03, 2010
The awakening of TV to the 21st Century ...Real Soon Now?
CoTV was ahead of its time in 2002... Now the stars may really be aligning for TV "companion" apps.
When I talked about CoTV to people at major TV and Web companies in 2002-5, they thought it was a good idea and assured me "Yes, I get it." Some did, and some just thought they did. Like all forms of "interactive TV" it has been "just around the corner" for many years "waiting for the stars to align." But now the stars really do seem to be aligning.
At the recent TV of the Future "TVOT NYC Intensive" from iTVT and Canoe, it was evident that important things are happening:
- iPad has awakened he giants: Comcast, Time Warner, TV networks, TiVo, and many others are jumping into coactive "companion" apps for tablets (and phones). iPad and other tablets are nearly ideal companion devices, and already in millions of laps.
- Platforms for interaction (CableLabs/Canoe, ETV, EBIF, ...) are enabling real innovation and increasing openness from within the distribution establishment. EBIF is in over 20 million homes, and growing rapidly, not only in cable systems. ETV is getting real. The PayPal Buy Button is a nice example.
- Over-the-top alternatives are real -- the incumbent system operators know they need to get into the 21st century or watch their content distribution business get bypassed.
- External plays based on TiVo, Blu Ray (Pocket BLU), and sound recognition (Spot411 Entertainment Tonight) show how this can be done outside the cable plant, even for shows distributed on cable.
- Social TV apps (about what you are watching now) are making the viewer value proposition even more powerful.
- In the early 2000's ABC ETV and Goldpocket did second-screen companion apps for major network shows (Millionaire, Sunday/Monday Night Football, Academy Awards, etc.) but only if you navigated to an ABC or program-specific Web site. Up-take was rarely even 1% of viewership, hardly a basis for a business.
- Now iPad and iPhone apps are creating similar experiences, but for the most part it is still a different app for each show or network.
So who will it be that realizes this is a critical race, does it right, and wins it? TV is ready to be reborn for the 21st Century. Once someone makes it easy to use across the board (and does not cripple it), it will happen very fast.
Friday, July 23, 2010
Introducing FairPay: An adaptive pricing process that can change the game in the media/content industry
What is needed in a revenue model, is not to choose the right price for digital products (free or not), but to create an adaptive pricing process.
- Selectively offer to let the buyer set any price he considers fair after the sale (Pay What You Want, post-sale).
- Let the seller (or a collective of sellers) track that price and use that information to determine whether to make further offers of that kind to that buyer in the future.
Call this enhanced process Fair Pay What You Want, or FairPay for short.
Because FairPay variations on Pay What You Want set prices after the sale, the buyer can have the product, use it, and verify its value, with no risk -- and then pay whatever he thinks fair.
- By adding FairPay feedback, the seller gains reduced risk and indirect control. The buyer develops a history, a FairPay reputation, that affects his future opportunities.
- That gives the seller the control needed to make FairPay offers only where his expected risk/reward profile is attractive. Instead of static pay walls and freemium schemes, this process supports seamless and dynamic hybrid models. Those who pay fairly, rise above the pay wall -- those who do not, must face it.
- Sellers can profitably sell to everyone who sees a potential value, at a price corresponding to the perceived value to that individual buyer.
- Some will pay well, some will not. But sellers can expect that many more people will buy, and they will pay a fair price because their reputation is at stake.
- FairPay can take many forms, and can enable free sampling and blends of free and paid that are more dynamically adaptive and effective than ordinary “freemium” models.
Friday, May 21, 2010
Building on Google TV: TV meets Webpad. Webpad meets TV.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Comcast, Time Warner on iPad -- an ideal device for Coactive TV
First, this looks like a major step to position iPad (and presumably future tablets from other sources) as a well-integrated second screen for use with TV viewing. It will offer a rich remote control usable on the sofa for enhanced control of the big-screen TV, with full program guide and DVR control functions having an excellent UI, including its handy soft keyboard.
Second, it looks like a first step toward a simple coactive Social Web app. The Comcast demo shows how it lets you send an invitation to a friend, so he can tune in to the program you are watching with just a single click (if he has equivalent service).
iPad looks like a poster child for the kind of Webpad that would be an ideal second screen for Web services related to what you are watching on TV. With this device, and the level of TV context awareness in Comcast's demo, it would be very easy for the cable operators to add a full suite of coactive services. This could enable the iPad to show arbitrary Web content related to what you are watching on your TV.
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Some related news that is also encouraging in using such mainstream devices as TV adjuncts is from Crestron. This leading high-end whole house entertainment control company is embracing iPad as an alternative to its very expensive custom tablet remote controls.
Friday, April 02, 2010
Coactive viewing of TV and the Web -- the stars are aligning?
- A majority of people multitask while watching TV, increasingly using the Web while on TV
- Much of that is driven by the Social Web -- tweeting and IM-ing about the TV shows (or other video) we are watching.
- Some of it is driven by other services, such as looking at IMDB or other Web content related to what you are watching.
I have been seeking to develop such "Coactive TV" services since before 2002, and am happy to see more and more steps toward that vision.
- One of the most important milestones is the Verizon FIOS Twitter and Facebook widgets. These are TV widgets that run on your TV (if you have FIOS) and can be triggered to sense what program you are watching and send a tweet or update your Facebook status to inform people that you are watching it. Right now, these are for interaction on the TV, with limited integration with a PC or phone.
-- That should be easy to add -- all it takes is a widget that talks to a Web server that coordinates other Web services with whatever is on your TV. There is no limit to what the Web services might be. Wouldn't someone like to be in the middle of that dynamic? ...Verizon? ...Anyone else? - Another interesting step is by a startup called Spot411, that uses audio recognition to figure out what TV program or DVD you are watching, and link you to a Facebook page with others who are also watching that. They got some visibility with a PC and iPhone app done for Fox DVDs that is called FoxPop. Now they are doing the same thing for TV. These guys get the idea that we don't want different apps for each show -- we want one app that works for any show.
- Sony is doing an interesting variation for their Blu-ray discs, building on BD-Live Internet connectivity. It started as movieIQ, announced last June with IMDB-like information from Gracenote (the people who tell your PC what song is on the CD track you are playing). Soon they will be adding an iPhone app called movieIQ sync that will let you get the movieIQ information on your phone. Great for Sony discs, but what about all the rest? Repeat: You don't get mass audiences on niche platforms!
- Many media companies have iPhone apps that tie to their specific TV programs, DVDs, or games. Repeat: You don't get mass audiences on niche platforms!
- Miso is an app that lets you "check in" to any TV show or movie and send it to Twitter, Facebook, or foursquare. You have to manually enter or find the show (unlike Spot411), but it is an interesting start.
- MTV is one of the first of what may be a wave of companies building similar apps for the iPad, which they suggest "could be the appendage that makes interactive TV a reality." A nice start but...One more time: You don't get mass audiences on niche platforms!
Thursday, April 01, 2010
Sent BMW into the shop -- but it was a server problem
My new 3-series has a BMW Assist feature with its navigation system that lets you find a destination on Google Maps in your home or office, and then send it to the car, so the guidance system can take you there.
I tried it several times, but could find no messages in the car from Google Maps (which said they were successfully sent to my car). BMW Customer Service remotely fixed some errors they had in my account email address, but it still did not work days later, so they said I had to take it to the shop. Seemed like a server-side problem to me, but that is what they wanted...
After a couple phone calls while working on my car (over the course of 3 days), the dealer service rep finally called to say the messages were there, but that it was hard to find them (he had never worked with the feature before). We assumed I must have been looking in the wrong place. He suggested I come in for instructions, but I suggested I call from the car when I could. BMW needs to hire some people from Apple to work on UI, but wait, there is more..
After getting the car back and sending it a new destination to look for, I got in and looked around, starting with the same menu selection I had looked into before ("BMW Assist/Messages"). Lo and behold: there were my previous message, a couple dealer test messages (opened), and my new message (unopened) -- right where it kept saying "No messages" before.
I can only conclude that the car had been fine, I had been using it properly, and something changed on BMW's end (either in some server, or in the setup entered into some server by BMW Assist staff.
Imagine the cost of sending thousands (eventually millions) of cars into the shop for problems that could be diagnosed and fixed remotely! BMW does not yet realize they are in the network services business (and selling network node devices). I hope they realize it soon.
Internet of things, Internet of computers, Internet of people. ...Convergence every which way ...I can't wait for the next release.
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
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Thursday, February 11, 2010
Debunking the 'Patent Troll' Myth
My exerience in this area supports Ron's arguments, as was summarized in my 2008 post "'The Six Phases of a Technology Flop' ...Patents, and Plan B".
Thursday, October 29, 2009
Bringing advertising back to the future
Today's conference on "Creating a New Model for News and Information" had a very interesting discussion by luminaries in the news business addressing the apparent reality that advertising could no longer support their media, and how new models are needed.
That is a major issue in the short term, but advertising will be reborn as a key source of funding as technology improves.
The problem is that current "new" media do not present ads in a way that effectively serves the reader. Screen real estate is limited, and there is no place to include ads that are rich and informative without seriously detracting from the content. But what is forgotten is that that will change, as technology improves.
Unlike Web pages, newspapers and magazines were able to present very compelling ads adjacent to content, without detracting from the content.
- Their weakness (as Wanamaker is famed to have noted) is lack of targeting. Targeting is still reasonably good in special interest sections and trade magazines, but such special interest content has heavily migrated to the Web.
- I have always been struck by how in trade magazines and special interest magazines, the ads can often be as valuable as the content. Even on TV, ads can be better than the content. In visual media, advertising is not necessarily a negative -- it can be a positive to the viewer.
- Internet media have greatly improved targeting (look at Google), but have lost richness, at least on the surface (look at Google). They match (and even add) richness only when you bother to drill deeper by clicking a link (or doing a mouse-over).
- Think back to newspapers and magazines: They have enough real estate to let content and rich ads have effective adjacency, while still conveying a substantial message.
- Think about emerging screen technologies: ever larger screens, ever lighter and more flexible -- literally more flexible, as OLEDs enable large screens that fold up -- that will mimic newspapers and magazines within a few years.
- (My suggestions for "Coactive TV" also provide expanded real estate in the form of a second screen that can be coordinated to show ads related to the first screen.)
Of course the media need to survive in the short term with less (or no) advertising, but don't be blindsided when ads are reborn!
Tags: Media New Media Web/Tech Internet Media Technology Journalism
Full Frontal Reality: how to combat the growing lunatic fringe
Today's conference on "Creating a New Model for News and Information" had a very interesting discussion by luminaries in the news business that touched on the problems of the Internet and "The Daily Me" in which people increasingly filter their news sources to support their viewpoints. This is a technology-enhanced form of "confirmation bias."
Perhaps this can be countered using the same technology to find ways to create, direct, and select materials coming from contrary viewpoints that are tailored to directly counter such bias in constructive ways.
The angle here is that confirmation bias is very easy and comforting, but reality usually offers more survival value.
- Systems that can find complementary information and demonstrate that it offers survival value could be very influential, at least to the subset of holders of extreme views that have not totally severed contact with reality.
- The idea is to encourage them to reality-test -- to seek serendipitous exposure to balanced and well-reasoned antidotes to the biased material they usually see, and to demonstrate the practical value of more balanced viewpoints.
So the other thing needed is a smarter delivery service, a new media filtering tool that specifically aids in bringing such materials to those who need to hear them.
- Filters that give you food for thought, in a way that is constructive, interesting, and not threatening
- Services that demonstrate the folly of extreme views
With such tools, when you personalize your "Daily Me" to know what you want, it will also give you some of what you need, stuff you don't know you want. Some people will have no interest in that, but some will find it valuable and stimulating to get a breath of fresh air that does not reek of the biases of the opposite side.
...If there are already delivery services developing with this aim, I would be very interested to hear about them.Tags: Media New Media Web/Tech Internet Media Technology Journalism
Friday, July 03, 2009
User-centered to the limit
In the early 1970's when the Jaguar XK-E was still in production (the quintessentially sexy sports car that Enzo Ferrari called "the most beautiful car ever made"), my friend told me of the time he passed one parked on the street as two small boys marvelled at it.
He overheard one say, "Boy, wouldn't you love to have a car like that?"
To which the other replied. "Have a car like that? I'd like to be a car like that!"
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I offer this as too classic to remain unpublished. The incident was reported by my late friend Walter Ensdorf, who was always a very keen observer of the world.
Monday, March 30, 2009
The Smart Money of Crowds, April 7, 2009, NYC, MIT Enterprise Forum Symposium
Can we exploit the Wisdom of Crowds on Wall Street? -- especially now that the "smart money" no longer looks very smart?
Historically individual investors have been a good indicator for what not to do -- Can the Social Web make them smarter?
I am assisting David Teten organize this event, and we have a very interesting panel. Come on April 7 to learn from a group of innovative startups that are leveraging the Wisdom of Crowds to provide investment counsel you can believe in - or so they claim.
Register at http://www.mitef-nyc.org/mc/community/eventdetails.do?eventId=211129&orgId=mefny
